Tote Tipster - Horse Racing Tips For Today
Listen to this weekend's Weekend Watch where our tipsters discuss all the action at home and in the UK this weekend.
Fairyhouse – Sunday
12.40 – Missy Tata - Bar One Racing Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 3)
By far the most impressive juvenile hurdler seen in Ireland so far this season, Missy Tata is an absolute banker to start a cracking card on Sunday. She demolished a decent field on her Irish debut at Down Royal and with her trainer promising she will relish softer conditions it is hard to envisage anything but a comfortable win. Rashaan has done nothing wrong over hurdles and this well bred son of Manduro looks to have a bit of class about him. He does have to carry a double penalty here and giving 11lbs to the selection may prove an impossible task. He is the clear second preference though. La Vagabond was an impressive winner last time but it looked a weak race and he may have to settle for minor honours here, while Rocket Punch is worth watching in the market on hurdles debut.
Exacta: 7 – 1
Trifecta: 7 – 1 – 2
1.10 – Bachasson - Bar One Racing Royal Bond Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)
A tricky contest to assess but if the form of Bachasson’s Tipperary win is to be taken literally he could be very tough to beat. The second horse that day, Three Stars, was subsequently an impressive winner of the Grade 3 For Auction Novice Hurdle at Navan taking the scalps of Thomas Hobson and Tycoon Prince. Bachasson is undefeated in four Irish starts and at this point we really have no idea how good he is. This race will tell a lot. Stable jockey Ruby Walsh has abandoned the selection for second season novice Long Dog. He also has some form with Three Stars from the Galway Festival but the feeling is that three Stars has improved significantly since then. Long Dog’s jumping hasn’t always impressed and it will come under scrutiny now he steps down in trip. Gunnery Sergeant is the joker in the pack. He was an impressive winner of his bumper in October and looked set to make a winning debut in a novice hurdle last weekend before falling two out. He has very little experience for a race like this but he looks to have a huge amount of ability.
Exacta: 4 – 3-5
1.40 – Alpha Des Obeaux - Bar One Racing Hatton's Grace Hurdle (Grade 1)
Artic Fire looks likely to go off a short price here and there is a strong possibility that he will win but at the likely prices there may be some value in second season hurdler, Alpha Des Obeaux. His runs behind Nichols Canyon and in particular Douvan last season suggest he may be underestimated by a rating of 147. This coupled with the fact that his trainer described him as a “baby” last season give hope that he may have improved for his summer break. Artic Fire proved many of his critics wrong when battling hard to get the better of Monksland at Navan last time. However it remains to be seen if 2m4f on heavy ground brings out the best in the speedy son of Soldier Hollow. Gwencily Berbas is another potential improver in the field and this may come too soon for the four year old.
Exacta: 1 – 2
Trifecta: 1 – 2- 7
2.10 – Harvey Logan - Underwriting Exchange Handicap Hurdle (Rated 80-116)
A race that is difficult to have a strong opinion, Harvey Logan may be the answer. A winner of two handicap hurdles early last season, his form has tailed off a bit since but a pipe-opener at Punchestown recently may leave him spot on for this. He will have to carry top-weight which is a concern but he could have a bit of class in this grade. Ballyadam Approach is well treated over hurdles on the back of consecutive chase wins last season and he rates as an obvious danger if fit enough. Others to consider include the strong staying Orpheus Valley who has a lovely racing weight and Lisclogher Lad who wasn’t too far away at Punchestown last time.
Exacta: 1 – 7
Trifecta: 1 – 7 – 8
2.40 – Free Expression - Bar One Racing Drinmore Novice Steeplechase (Grade 1)
No More Heroes was impressive on chasing debut but this is far too competitive a race to be backing anything at odds-on. He may win but there is certainly no value in backing him. Preference instead is for his stablemate Free Expression who was arguably unlucky to finish second to Outlander at Punchestown. There doesn’t seem to be much between that pair either way but Free Expression looks the more straightforward character, giving him the selection. Monksland won well at Gowran last weekend but was a shade below Grade 1 class over hurdles and it is suspected that he will come up just short over fences as well. Shantou Flyer is thriving recently and is probably too big a price at double figure odds. Sub Lieutenant disappointed on his chase debut at Naas but the reapplication of cheekpieces could prove very significant and don’t rule out a big run from Sandra Hughes charge.
Exacta: 2 – 7
Trifecta: 2 – 7 – 5
3.10 – Clar Na Mionn - Bar One Racing Porterstown Handicap Steeplechase (Grade C)
After his capitulation in the Troytown last time it is very hard to side with Tulsa Jack so preference instead is for Clar Na Mionn who finished second behind him in the Cork National. This is an extreme test of stamina and it looks to bring out the best in the selection who has a nice racing weight of 10-4. Killer Crow takes a significant step up in trip for his handicap debut and he could prove to be thrown in. Sword Fish is a standing dish in these marathon contests and any further rain that falls will help his chances. Cootamundra is another veteran who will stay this trip and could run into a place.
Exacta: 9 – 8
Trifecta: 9 – 8 – 6
3.40 – Sunni May - Dunganny Centre Of Excellence Meath GAA Raceday (Pro/Am) Flat Race
Gigginstown throw the proverbial kitchen sink at this with three runners for three different trainers but it may be Sunni May that takes the honours for Jessica Harrington. Her bumper runners have been in outstanding form of late and the form of Sunni May’s debut run in the Land Rover Bumper is working out well. If he improves at all from that first run he could take all the beating. Lucky Pass is the obvious danger having joined Willie Mullins after winning his only point-to-point start for Brian Hamilton. Timmone is another to consider after a promising first run at Thurles recently.
Exacta: 9 – 6
Trifecta: 9 – 6 - 11