Tote Tipster - Today's Horse Racing Tips

Navan – Sunday 19th

Nap of the day – Admiral Brian (4.40)

2.10 - Broken Soul - Get Your 2017 Navan Membership Maiden Hurdle – Win

Broken Soul met an above average sort when runner up to Melon at Leopardstown late last month and is the choice to open his account over hurdles. He took a long time to win a bumper having run some fair races in defeat but there are signs that he is improving and his claims are obvious. Miss Mardan ran a cracker when runner up to Augustin in a Naas maiden event three weeks ago and as that was her first run since December 2015, considerable improvement can be expected which makes her a big threat here. Not A Whisper was a winner on the flat last season and ran reasonably well when sixth in a competitive mares event at Leopardstown last month and could go well although today’s softer ground is likely to stretch her stamina while the remainder appear to have a bit to find to get involved with Bold Sky a possible improver.

 

Exacta: 2 - 7

Trifecta: 2 - 7 – 10

 

2.40 - Identity Thief - Flyingbolt Novice Chase (Grade 3) – Win

While this is far from an easy task, Identity Thief is the selection to get his season back on track. Having won his first two chase starts in fine style, his last two efforts have seen him fail to complete and he faces a stiff enough test here in trying to concede 9lbs to some smart rivals. However, if he is to have any chance of going close at Cheltenham next month, he really needs to win this. Ball D’Arc was a good winner of the Dan Moore Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse in mid-January and the testing ground is likely to suit him well so a good run can be expected while Ballyoisin jumped particularly well when winning a Fairyhouse beginners chase last month and is potentially very smart. Market moves for this one would have to be much respected in an intriguing race.

 

Exacta: 1- 2

Trifecta: 1 - 2 – 3

 

3.10 – Supasundae - Ladbrokes Ireland Boyne Hurdle (Grade 2) – Each/Way

All eyes will be on Sutton Place in this fascinating contest. He looked a horse of real potential when bolting up in the Limestone Lad Hurdle at Naas last month and will be expected to go in again here but this longer trip is a step into the unknown and it certainly won’t be a cakewalk for him despite his new rating of 158 putting him well clear of his rivals. Supasundae was the horse that chased him home at Naas last time but this longer trip will be very much in his favour and it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise to see him go pretty close for a trainer/jockey combination who won last Sunday’s Irish Gold Cup. He may be a value bet. Renneti ran well when chasing home Jezki on unfavourable weight terms here last month and should figure prominently if on his best behaviour while stable companion Thomas Hobson was not beaten far in the Coral.ie Hurdle at Leopardstown last month and is another with frame claims. De Plotting Shed looks the pick of the remainder.

 

Exacta: 7 - 1

Trifecta: 7 - 1 – 6

 

3.40 - Nicole’s Milan - Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle – Win

The progressive Nicole’s Milan may be worth siding with once again as he bids to bring up his hat-trick. Successful on his last two runs at Fairyhouse, he has gone up 12lbs in the ratings for those 2 victories but with the majority of his rivals in this contest not at their best at the moment, another victory looks on the cards. Emma Beag did not run one of her better races last time out but is generally a consistent sort and would have definite prospects on her overall form while Futuramic went close in a similar race over this course and distance in November but would possibly prefer less testing conditions. Dounikos was a disappointment on his most recent effort but his earlier second to Billy’s Hope at Thurles suggests he can figure prominently while Rightdownthemiddle is very well treated on his hurdle rating compared to his much bigger chase mark and could be of interest having run well in the Leopardstown Chase last time out. Soir De Chantenay shaped well on his first venture in handicap company at Gowran Park last month and this four year old is definitely worth a second look in the betting market.

 

Exacta: 13 - 12

Trifecta: 13 - 12 – 4

 

4.10 – Anibale Fly - Grade 2 Ten Up Novice Chase – Win

Anibale Fly possibly won with a little over this trip at Naas three weeks ago and he will be a popular choice to follow up. He was pulled-up on his first start over the distance at Kempton on St Stephen's Day but made no mistake when accounting for A Genie In Abottle in a Grade 3 event last time. He had this afternoon’s rival Haymount well behind him on that occasion. That was a cracking performance and he is picked ahead of Acapella Bourgeois who goes up in trip after a cosy success here a month ago. Edwulf is back up in distance after his ready success over Bachasson at Punchestown and can be expected to go well. Road To Respect ran over two miles last time and this trip is certainly new to him over fences. He had one run over this over three miles over hurdles last season. 

 

Exacta – 1-2 (Anibale Fly/Acapella Bourgeois)

Trifecta – 1-2-4 (Anibale Fly/Acapella Bourgeois/Edwulf)

 

4.40 – Admiral Brian - PS Supplies Doors & Floors Handicap Hurdle – Each/Way

 

Admiral Brian can go well despite top-weight. He was running for the first time since May when down the field at Limerick at Christmas and he is certainly entitled to improve. A clear-cut winner on this card last year, he is chosen ahead of Peculiar Genius who was successful at Tramore on New Year's Day and ran well when third at Gowran Park next time. Holeinthewall Bar was a faller over fences at Fairyhouse two weeks ago and he had earlier won in grand style over the larger obstacles at Down Royal. He runs off a similar mark here and his chances are not easily discounted.

 

Exacta – 1-13 (Admiral Brian/Peculiar Genius)

Trifecta – 1-13 (Admiral Brian/Peculiar Genius/Holeinthewall Bar)

 

5.10 – Poli Roi - Race displays Event signage INH Flat Race – Win

 

Poli Roi was a very good winner of his point-to-point at Rockfield in November and he is taken to follow up. Jamie Codd was on board that day and he is again in the saddle as the five-year-old has his first start for Gordon Elliott. Ballyhome won on his third start in a point-to-point and the booking of champion amateur Patrick Mullins is certainly eye-catching. Of those that have run on the track, Impact Factor probably boasts the best form as he finished third to West Coast Time on his only start to date at Cork in early January. Boubafly is another newcomer to note and the same can certainly be said about Stir The Pot.

 

Exacta – 6-1 (Poli Roi/Ballyhome)

Trifecta – 6-1-5 (Poli Roi/Ballyhome/Impact Factor)