Tote Tipster - Today's Horse Racing Tips

Navan- Saturday- 10th December


Nap of the day – Ball D’Arc (2.20)

12.00 – Chirico Vallis - Kells Maiden Hurdle – Win 

A maximum of 30 runners are scheduled to go to post for our opening contest this afternoon which should prove informative for the future. Willie Mullins’ sole representative here C’est Jersey is having his first run in Ireland since leaving France and with Ruby Walsh on board is of obvious interest but preference is for Chirico Vallis. Gordon Elliott’s charge was well touted prior to finishing second in the hotly contested maiden hurdle at Cork last month won by Peace News and a reproduction of that should be good enough. Henry de Bromhead should have a good read on that form as he trained the winner that day and any market confidence behind his Black Key, who was an expensive purchase off the Flat where he achieved a rating of 85, would be very interesting. Two fillies worth keeping an eye on are Belle Helene and Champayne Lady who have both showed useful form in bumpers.

Exacta – 9-3 

Trifecta – 9-3-7

 

12.35 – Three Swallowsnick - After The Races Party At The Central Bar Mares Maiden Hurdle – Win

 

A mares’ maiden hurdle that revolves around the two-time bumper winner Three Swallowsnick. On the second of those wins, Gordon Elliott’s mare accounted for a good field in a Listed bumper at this venue and she should appreciate this step up in trip to collect here. Petit Mouchoir’s half-sister Pravalaguna makes her Irish debut here having won on her only start in France. She is now in the care of the all-conquering Willie Mullins and is one to keep a close eye on. Ask Susan produced a cracking effort when chasing home the exciting Augusta Kate on her first start over hurdles and if in the same heart here could give them all plenty to think about. Debutante Ask Granny is related to some useful performers and any support in the market should be taken seriously while three-time bumper winner Miss Eyecatcher has a bit to find with the selection and did disappoint somewhat on her sole attempt over hurdles so must improve.

 

Exacta – 14-21 

Trifecta – 14-21-17

 

1.10 – Kilkeaskins First - Drogheda Handicap Hurdle – Each/Way

 

A large field goes to post for this handicap hurdle in what has the look of a minefield for punters. Despite some very ordinary form, Kilkeaskins First was all rage prior to landing a Fairyhouse handicap hurdle and a 7lb rise in the weights may underestimate him slightly so is worth chancing to follow up today. Clontarf may be difficult to win with but he is a model of consistency and as a result is possibly in the grips of the handicapper. His most recent effort at Punchestown reads very well in the context of this event and it would be no surprise to see him in the shake-up once again. Boris Boru has been in fine fettle of late and off a nice racing weight today cannot be discounted. Zipporah should be all the better for her solid return to action at Wexford and is back down to what should be a workable mark for her. Edvardo, Notification, Tyrone Tiger and Uptake will all have their followers.    

 

Exacta – 17-19 

Trifecta – 17-19-2

 

1.45 – Briar Hill - Grade 3 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Klairon Davis Novice Chase – Win 

 

Things had gone a little pear-shaped for Briar Hill since his nasty fall when favourite for the three mile novice hurdle at the 2014 Cheltenham Festival but he has looked rejuvenated in his two starts over fences and on official ratings should have enough in his locker to land this Grade 3. This is far from a penalty kick for the selection and should he fluff his lines perhaps Three Stars is best equipped to take advantage. A Grade 3 winner over hurdles at this venue last season, Henry de Bromhead’s charge has also made a pleasing start to life over fences as has stable companion Attribution who finished a good third to potential superstar, Identity Thief, in a Grade 2 contest at Punchestown last time. Former hunter chaser It Came To Pass is very much unexposed but has a bit to find in a race of this class and best watched on this occasion.

 

Exacta – 3-1 Trifecta – 3-1-2

 

2.20 – Ball D’Arc - Foxrock Handicap Chase – Win 

 

Ball D’Arc catches the eye as he runs in his first handicap chase. A fair hurdler, he has done well over fences so far and after winning well at Wexford at the end of October ran a fair race in better company when fourth to Identity Thief in a Grade 2 novice chase at Punchestown three weeks ago. Kitten Rock is another running in handicap chase company for the first time but not surprisingly he has top-weight to contend with after a few nice runs last season and a promising return when chasing home Zabana at Gowran Park late last month. Also coming out of novice company for the first time is Kilcarry Bridge who is the most recent winner in the field but he certainly steps up in class after his beginners’ chase victory at Thurles in early November. Alisier D’Irlande should go well at the opposite end of the handicap while King’s Wharf and Rock On Fruity are unlikely to be without support. 

 

Exacta – 8-1

Trifecta – 8-1-14

 

2.55 – Prince Of Scars - Mervyn Gray Construction Beginners Chase – Win 

 

Prince Of Scars was a leading staying hurdler last season and while he might appreciate a longer trip, he is certainly the one to beat. He made a promising start to his chasing career when chasing home Road To Respect over a furlong shorter than this at Naas a month ago. That form has a fair look to it and he is entitled to improve as it was his first start since April. Edwulf was predictably no match for Min here two weeks ago but he surely comes into the reckoning as does Gwencily Berbas who shaped up well on his chasing debut behind Three Stars at Punchestown in mid-October. Our Duke and Rathvinden were well above average over hurdles but lack a recent run. 

 

Exacta – 8-2

Trifecta – 8-2-3

 

3.30 – Minella Fair - REA T&J Gavigan Estate Agents Flat Race – Win 

 

Minella Fair made a promising start when runner-up to the well-fancied Magic Of Light over the course and distance four weeks ago and should be up to winning now. He wasn’t short of market support himself that day and is likely to be a little better this time. Champion rider Patrick Mullins partnered Ken’s Well to finish second behind L’andana at Thurles in October but he sides with newcomer Dr Wallace which must be a pointer to that one’s chances. Soul Kaliber is another to watch out for and the same can be said of both Our Valentina and Colwinstown. 

 

Exacta – 6-2

Trifecta – 6-2-8

 

Punchestown- Sunday- 11th December

Nap of the day – Lasoscar (1.30)

12.25 - Sound Money - Ladies Free Admission Rated Novice Hurdle – Win 

A tightly-knit contest where several can be fancied and if the ground remains pretty decent perhaps Sound Money might be the right solution. O’Grady’s charge was having his first run since Killarney in May when going down narrowly to a capable sort at Gowran Park two weeks ago and will strip fitter today. Sunni May was probably a bit fortunate to win at Cork recently when the odds-on favourite came down at the second last flight on that occasion but he did well to recover after being badly hampered and is likely to make his presence felt along with Kalopsia who proved a decisive winner of a mares hurdle at Thurles ten days ago. Lion In His Heart was still in contention when crashing out at the second last hurdle in a Graded event won by the smart Death Duty at Navan two weeks ago and merits respect while the fact that Gordon Elliott elects to claim 7lbs off Sanibel Island suggests this one has frame claims if finding a little more improvement.

Exacta: 5 - 2

Trifecta: 5 - 2 - 8

12.55 - Toe The Line - Buy Your Annual Membership Maiden Hurdle – Win 

Toe The Line has some fine flat form to her credit and she only just failed to win a well-contested mares event at Wexford on her hurdling debut over two weeks ago. With the benefit of that experience behind her, she might just be good enough to win what is a pretty strong maiden event. Turcagua attracted plenty of market support when third over a slightly longer trip than this on his first hurdle start here last month and with improvement expected he looks sure to go close. New To This Town is a dual bumper winner of last season who ran respectably on his hurdling debut when third at Gowran Park a couple of weeks ago and can be expected to figure prominently while another with definite frame claims is Champagne Classic who looked useful when winning a Fairyhouse bumper in good style recently. Noel Meade’s The Rory Story justified favouritism when winning a Navan bumper on his only racecourse start to date in late September and while this looks a stronger race, he can make his presence felt.

Exacta: 19 - 16

Trifecta: 19 - 16 - 2

1.30 - Lasoscar - Follow On Facebook And Twitter Handicap Hurdle – Win 

A very competitive handicap hurdle in prospect with Lasoscar tipped to score as long as the weather remains mainly dry. He chased home a strongly supported favourite over this course a couple of weeks ago and should be in the thick of things again from a 2lb higher rating. Toon River is interesting considering he can race off a 30lb lower hurdle mark here compared to his chase rating but he just might need this first run of the season while Luckyinmilan won his last two races over hurdles last season and if fully fit for his first run since March, he could make a bold bid. Dawerann went very close at Navan two weeks ago and may have found the tighter Clonmel track against him when only fourth there on Thursday. A return to this type of track will suit and he has every chance of going close once again. Top weight Long Way Back has shaped with promise in some pretty strong maiden hurdles in recent months and while he faces no easy task having to concede weight all round, he makes each way appeal at decent odds while the evergreen Ballyadam Brook should not be easily dismissed with a return to this type of trip likely to be in his favour.

Exacta:  9 - 14

Trifecta: 9 - 14 - 1

2.00 - Sub Lieutenant - John Durkan Memorial Punchestown Chase (Grade 1) – Win 

A tremendous renewal of this race with all five runners holding decent claims of victory. Djakadam was very impressive when winning this contest 12 months ago and is the likely favourite to complete the double after finishing runner up in both the Cheltenham Gold Cup and the Punchestown Gold Cup. He is the highest rated runner and will take plenty of beating. However, Sub Lieutenant has looked a much improved performer this season and might just be worth supporting against the likely favourite. He made all the running to defeat Outlander and Zabana in a Grade 2 contest at Down Royal in early November and is taken to make the step up to Grade 1 level today. Outlander would have won the Clonmel Oil Chase last month only for coming down at the final fence on that occasion and has to be respected while Black Hercules was a good winner of the JLT Novice Chase at the Cheltenham Festival when last seen in action and could be another major player in what looks a fascinating affair.

Exacta: 5 - 3

Trifecta: 5 - 3 - 4

2.35 - Woodland Opera - Alan Lillingston Memorial Beginners Chase – Win 

Another very strong beginners’ chase in prospect and the highly regarded American Tom is likely to be sent off favourite. Winner of his only start over hurdles at Gowran Park last term, he looks every inch a chaser and will be expected to go very close from a stable in fine form at present. However, Woodland Opera might be a bit of value against him. He was well fancied when only fifth on his chasing debut here last month but this shorter trip will suit him better and the form of that race was well boosted last weekend when the second placed horse, Coney Island, won a Grade 1 at Fairyhouse. There are a few smart hurdlers making their chasing debuts in this with the likes of Ancient Sands and Blue Hell both capable of getting involved if jumping adequately while Marchese Marconi has some chasing experience to his credit and this type of distance will be in his favour. A good run from Squouateur would not surprise as this longer trip will be in his favour while Bentelimar was thrown in at the deep end over fences here last month and should be capable of mounting more of a challenge today with Gangster another possibility in another competitive race.

Exacta: 12 - 1

Trifecta: 12 - 1 - 7

3.05 - Sonny B - 3 For 2 Festival Tickets Handicap Chase – Each/Way

Space Cadet heads the weights here but must have every chance of succeeding as he drops down significantly in class having found life difficult at Grade 2 level last time. His earlier success in a Roscommon beginners chase and his consistent level of form over hurdles last term suggests he is well up to a race of this standard. However, this will only be his third start over fences and the greater experience of Sonny B could prove decisive. Sonny B was a little unlucky in running when a close up third in a decent handicap over two miles and six furlongs here last month and might be good enough to gain compensation. Kansas City Chief was still in contention when unseating his rider in the Porterstown Chase at Fairyhouse last Sunday and on his overall profile he has to be considered. Thomond has not been running that badly and has slipped to a rating that he can be very competitive off now so respect any market moves while White Arm was beaten a fair way in a lady riders chase at Fairyhouse in the middle of last month and can be expected to show a nice bit of improvement on what was his first start since last March. Whatareudoingtome looks the pick of the remainder on his first run of the season having won his last two starts over fences last term.

Exacta: 2 - 1

Trifecta: 2 - 1 - 3

3.40 - Line Out - The Old House Kill (Pro-Am) INH Flat Race – Win 

A fascinating finale to a great day’s racing and the betting market will be crucial here with so many newcomers from big yards to be respected. Of those that have run Geneva Barracks would have to be given a chance on his fine second in a valuable sales bumper at Fairyhouse in late March while Aegios was an odds on favourite when runner up on his only start at Limerick in June and should figure prominently. However, it may be worth taking a chance on Line Out from the John Kiely stable. A full brother to Toe The Line, he is likely to be fancied to go close and has the excellent Derek O’Connor on board. Come To Me is an obvious threat hailing from the Willie Mullins yard while both Burren Life and Game Of War race in the Gigginstown House Stud colours and are likely to get involved at the finish in what could be an above average contest.

Exacta: 9 - 4

Trifecta: 9 - 4 - 5

 

 

Cork- Sunday- 11th December

 Nap of the meeting – Kiera Royale (3.20)

12.35 – Tree Of Knowledge - Galtee Three-Year-Old Maiden Hurdle – Win 

Tree Of Knowledge is likely to know his job and should be up to making a winning start over hurdles. Successful over the extended nine furlongs at Gowran Park in August, he ran a better race when a close fourth to Zhukova in a Group 3 over 12 furlongs at Leopardstown on Longines Irish Champions Weekend in September. Rated 102 after that, he stands out here and is chosen ahead of Alcander and Niven who filled the minor placings behind the selection’s stable companion Landofhopeandglory at Fairyhouse a month ago. Ineffable has a little to find with the latter on their run behind Champagne Pat at Gowran Park and a bigger danger is likely to come from Gordon Elliott’s French import Dinaria Des Obeaux who was a winner over 12 furlongs on his only start in April. 

 

Exacta – 17-21

Trifecta – 17-21-1

 

1.10 – Woods Well - Charleville Cheese Maiden Hurdle – Win 

 

Woods Well is worth following as he goes over hurdles for the first time. He chased home the smart Articulum on his debut at Naas in January and made a promising return when a good winner on his first start since then at Thurles almost three weeks ago. This has the makings of a fair race and he is chosen ahead of Dr Mikey who has some nice form in the book and was running over hurdles for the first time when a neck second to Sunni May over the course and distance last time. Kolumbus was a narrow winner when last seen at Kilbeggan in April and one coming back after a longer absence is Sizinguptheamazon who has a few runs over hurdles to his name but has been off the track since February. Black Ace is certainly another to consider as he makes his seasonal reappearance. 

 

Exacta – 13-4

Trifecta – 13-4-2

 

1.40 – Monbeg Notorious - Grade 3 Kerry Group Stayers Novice Hurdle – Win 

 

Monbeg Notorious should take care of these. He showed some good form in bumpers and made a pleasing start to his jumping career when beating subsequent Punchestown winner Moulin A Vent at Down Royal in early November. The step up in distance for this won’t be an issue and he can win from the penalised Screaming Rose who was runner-up to Blood Crazed Tiger on her first start over three miles at Cork last month. She had earlier finished second to the smart Peregrine Run at Limerick and might just be a bigger danger ahead of the runaway Clonmel winner Screaming Rose. 

 

Exacta – 1-3

Trifecta – 1-3-2

 

2.15 – Douvan - Grade 2 Kerry Group Hilly Chase – Win 

 

Douvan is the outstanding contender and it will be a major shock if he can't maintain unbeaten run. A winner at the Cheltenham, Aintree and Punchestown festivals last season, he will surely have the beating of the likeable Gilgamboa who just lost out to surprise winner Arctic Skipper at Navan last month on his first start since finishing a fine fourth in the Aintree Grand National. He will want further to be seen at his best but can take second spot here ahead of Fine Rightly, The Game Changer and Mozoltov. 

 

Exacta – 1-5

Trifecta – 1-5-4

 

2.45 – Daisy’s Gift - Grade 3 Kerry Group EBF Mares Novice Chase – Win 

 

Daisy’s Gift might just get the better of her stable companion Listen Dear to land the spoils. She was a faller on her chasing debut at Killarney in July and ran no race at Galway later in the same month but showed a lot more when back over hurdles at Gowran Park at the end of September and was a winner over fences at Wexford last time. Listen Deer has to give weight away all round but she comes here the winner of her last five races, the two most recent of which were over fences at Ballinrobe and Thurles. Colla Pier might be next best as she goes back over the larger obstacles and perhaps Annamatopoeia is the pick of the remainder.  

 

Exacta – 6-1

Trifecta – 6-1-5

 

3.20 – Kiera Royale - Low Low Handicap Hurdle – Each/Way 

 

Kiera Royale ran arguably her best race to date when second to Mick The Boyo over the course and distance three weeks ago and might finally be ready to win. She finished clear of subsequent winner 

Balynaclash Warior that day and the form of her last three runs reads quite well. She finished behind Orchard Road at Clonmel two runs ago but is much better off at the weights with that rival who was an easy winner at Limerick at the start of the month. Weightfordave is another not easily discounted while Copy Print won’t be short of support after his gutsy success at Galway on the October Bank Holiday weekend. 

 

Exacta – 11-5

Trifecta – 11-5-8

 

3.50 – Broughtons Star - Kerrymaid Novice Handicap Hurdle – Win 

 

Broughtons Star ran two nice races last month and appeals as the one to beat. He did well when fourth behind Theo at Fairyhouse at the beginning of the month and better again when runner-up to Neddyvaughan at Thurles almost three weeks ago. That form has been well advertised since and he should be too strong for top-weight Logical Song who was a winner at Fairyhouse over this trip before disappointing over three miles at Wexford more recently. Varene De Vauzelle is another dropping back in distance and he might pose a bigger threat than either Theatre Princess or Knockraha Boss. 

 

Exacta – 2-1

Trifecta – 2-1-9