Tote Tipster - Today's Horse Racing Tips

Naas – Sunday 24th September

Nap of the day –

2.00 - James Cook – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden – Win

As this race is confined to horses that have never raced, this is a complete guessing game for punters and the betting market will be extremely crucial. On breeding, the Aidan O’Brien trained James Cook stands out as this full brother to the high class Found is due to be ridden by Ryan Moore and from a favourable low draw, he makes plenty of appeal. Stable companion Cypress Creek is a brother to this year’s Irish Derby and English St Leger hero Capri and is sure to be forward enough to go close on his debut while Ger Lyons has enjoyed a fine year with his juveniles to date and his McMunigal would have to be respected. Others to note are Night Of Power from the Oxx yard, Loving A Boom from the Jessica Harrington stable and of the four fillies engaged, perhaps Viva Italia will be capable of a forward showing.

Exacta- 6 – 3 (James Cook/Cypress Royale)

Trifecta- 6 - 3 – 9 (James Cook/Cypress Royale/McMunigal)

2.30 - Mary Tudor – C.L. - M.F. Weld Park Stakes (Group 3) – Win

Mary Tudor has performed very well on her two starts to date and is the choice to win this Group race for juvenile fillies. Runner up to Magical in a Cork maiden in early August, she then finished third to the same filly in the Debutante Stakes at the Curragh a couple of weeks later and that form has been well boosted since then. Sizzling looks a big threat on her fine fourth in a Group 2 event at Doncaster last Friday having previously lost her maiden tag at Tipperary while stablemate Ballet Shoes would not be without a chance on her overall form and has experience of soft ground which will stand to her. English raider Juliet Foxtrot was a wide margin winner of a Goodwood maiden at the beginning of September and could get involved if handling this much softer ground while Karl Burke’s Ellthea won a Doncaster nursery handicap recently and has place claims if showing a bit more. Ball Girl looks the pick of the remainder.

Exacta- 7 - 9 (Mary Tudor/Sizzling)

Trifecta- 7 - 9 – 3 (Mary Tudor/Sizzling/Ballet Shoes)

3.00 - Renneti – Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3) – Win

While it is not always easy to predict how Renneti will perform on any given day, he is very effective on ground with plenty of cut in it and should be very much at home in today’s conditions. Outclassed by Order Of St George on his penultimate start, he was not disgraced under a welter burden in a competitive Leopardstown handicap three weeks ago and might just be good enough here. Wild Irish Rose has been a very consistent sort all year and must be regarded as a huge threat on her overall form. She did win a fillies listed contest at Leopardstown in late July and was not beaten far on her last 3 starts in graded company although it is questionable if she wants the ground as soft as this. Stars Over The Sea is a smart horse on his day and was a comfortable winner of a conditions race at Killarney in July but the prospect of soft ground may not be in his favour while English raider Return Ace has work to do on her overall form but her ability to handle testing conditions gives her a chance in a tight looking affair.

Exacta- 1 – 3 (Renneti/Return Ace)

Trifecta- 1 - 3 – 4 (Renneti/Return Ace/Wild Irish Rose)

3.30 - The Broghie Man – Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Race – Win

Would You Believe did well to win a Curragh maiden on his debut in mid-August and is the likely market leader in this fascinating contest. He finished well to score on that occasion and if coping with this softer ground he has rock solid claims. Powersville was behind the selection on that occasion and subsequently won at Navan which suggests he should figure prominently while top weight Spiorad Saoirse also enters calculations on his fair fourth to the useful Warm The Voice in a Listowel nursery recently having previously won a Galway maiden in late July. English raider Apple Anni was a decisive winner at Beverley last Wednesday and is an interesting contender while Swiss Cottage has run with credit in a higher grade than this on more than one occasion and can get involved if handling this type of ground. However, The Broghie Man could be a value bet after running very well when fourth in the valuable Tattersalls Auction Sale Stakes at the Curragh two weeks ago. He had previously shaped with promise when runner up at Leopardstown and when fourth at Naas on his debut in early July. Sunday Smart is another to consider after showing plenty of promise on his only start to date when fourth to Brick By Brick at the Curragh.

Exacta- 10 – 2 (The Broghie Man/Would You Believe)

Trifecta- 10 - 2 – 12 (The Broghie Man/Would You Believe/Sunday Smart)

4.00 - Quiet Reflection – Renaissance Stakes (Group 3) – Win

A cracking renewal of this sprint contest and English raider Quiet Reflection makes plenty of appeal on the likely soft ground.  A dual Group One winner last year with excellent wins in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot and the Sprint Cup at Haydock, she has only raced once this term which resulted in a disappointing effort at Haydock in late May but the ground was unsuitably quick on that occasion. Alphabet ran a career best when chasing home Caravaggio at the Curragh two weeks ago and looks a threat while Downforce loves testing ground and has first rate claims on his close second at York two weeks ago. Only Mine has enjoyed a fine season and must figure prominently if handling this softer ground while the admirable Gordon Lord Byron is never one to discount in these type of races but he does face a stiff task under a 5lb penalty for his Greenlands Stakes win at the Curragh in late May.

Exacta- 10 – 5 (Quiet Reflection/Downforce)

Trifecta- 10 - 5 – 11 (Quiet Reflection/Downforce/Alphabet)

4.30 - Tithonus – Joe McGrath Handicap – Win

Another very competitive affair and the admirable Tithonus could be the right answer. Winner of the Rockingham Handicap and the Scrurry Handicap at the Curragh earlier in the season, he has held his form well since then and was a fine fourth in the recent Bold Lad H’cap on Champions Weekend. With a smart 5lbs claimer on board, Tithonus may be able to go in again. Monsieur Joe and Tylery Wonder are two English raiders with decent claims although they would both probably prefer quicker ground than this while Voge is an improving and lightly raced three year old with good prospects. Maarek is getting on in years but it could be foolish to dismiss him from calculations as he has slipped down to a much lower rating and will have the soft ground to suit while Magic Bear is a smart sort who was not disgraced at listed level last time and could definitely get involved. Lower down the weights A Few Dollars Mine and Polly Douglas are both capable of running well with the ground in their favour with Imagine If another to consider as an each way contender.

Exacta- 2 – 12 (Tithonous/Voge)

Trifecta- 2 - 12 – 5 ((Tithonous/Voge/Imagine)

5.00 – Saxon Warrior - Group 2 Juddmonte Beresford Stakes – Win

Saxon Warrior could hardly have been more impressive when scoring on his debut at the Curragh at the end of last month and will be a popular choice to follow up. He came from off the pace to win going away from Meagher’s Flag and should be better again here. The choice of Ryan Moore, he should be too strong for his stable companions Kew Gardens and Delano Roosevelt which are closely matched on their runs behind another Ballydoyle runner, Nelson in a Group 3 at Leopardstown on Longines Irish Champions Weekend. Riyazan was a close up fourth in that same race and might pose more of a threat than Warm The Voice which is the winner of his last three races, including handicaps at the Curragh and Listowel.

Exacta – 4-2 (Saxon Warrior/Kew Gardens)

Trifecta – 4-2-1 (Saxon Warrior/Kew Gardens/Delano Roosevelt)

5.30 – Atlas - Hospitality At Naas Racecourse Handicap – Win

Atlas has certainly found his form again and after going so close behind Bubbly Bellini, a winner since, at the Galway festival, he won over this distance at Leopardstown a month ago and subsequently ran well when fourth to Roisin Box at Killarney. Canary Row was the winner of a listed race at Killarney in August and put in another fine effort when fourth to Riven Light over a longer trip in a similar race at Listowel. He should go well despite top-weight as should Pincheck which held his form well in four runs over the summer and drops back in trip after chasing home Zabalan over an extended ten furlongs at Roscommon. Less exposed is Espoir D’Soleil which was a winner on her second start at Leopardstown and runs in her first handicap now.

Exacta – 6-1 (Atlas/Canary Row)

Trifecta - 6-1-4 (Atlas/Canary Row/Pincheck)

 


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